From Boom to Bust: Energy and Real Estate Prices Fade


Simpler Trading Team

Jun 08th 2023  .  5 min read

Market Open

As today’s trading session commenced, traders braced themselves for potential market fluctuations, exhibiting a cautious approach while awaiting the catalyst that could shape the day’s trading activity. Against the backdrop of lingering global inflation concerns following the rate hikes by the central banks of Australia and Canada, the market remained on edge.

The spotlight turned to European and Asian shares, which also displayed a lackluster performance, mirroring the overall sentiment. With minimal news expected until next week’s release of the PMI data and comments from the Federal Reserve, all eyes remain focused on the U.S. economy, which has managed to avoid a recession so far, thanks to a resilient labor market, even amid elevated interest rates.

All Eyes on Sectors

Among the diverse landscape of sectors, it’s been a mixed bag for their performance. In an impressive display of economic resilience, the technology and consumer discretionary sectors were seen making a beeline towards the top of the charts. Their strong performances were driven primarily by notable contributions from tech-giants Apple (AAPL) and (AMZN), and electric vehicle leader, Tesla (TSLA).

However, the same positive momentum didn’t extend to all sectors. Real estate and energy sectors found themselves at the opposite end of the spectrum, grappling with some challenging market dynamics. In particular, the energy sector’s performance was sapped by a plunge in oil prices, which fell 1.7% amidst potential signs of a new oil deal between the U.S. and Iran.

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Stocks Under the Microscope

An array of individual stocks had their day in the sun or were caught in the rain. Notably, Apple (AAPL), (AMZN), and Tesla (TSLA) were amongst the top performers. Amazon’s impressive climb was in part catalyzed by a favorable initiation by Wells Fargo with an Overweight rating. Tesla, too, had a remarkable run, notching up its tenth straight gain.

Despite the general positivity, some stocks faced a bumpy ride. Wynn Resorts (WYNN) and Las Vegas Sands (LVS), for instance, experienced a downtick after their ratings were downgraded from Buy to Hold by Jefferies.

Economic Undercurrents

In our constant pursuit of understanding the ebb and flow of the markets, processing economic data plays a crucial part. The persistent concern globally has been inflation, made evident by recent rate hikes by the central banks of Australia and Canada. Despite this, the U.S. economy is weathering the storm quite well, demonstrating its ‘resilience’ in the face of elevated rates, largely owing to a robust labor market.

A significant global economic development has been the signs of soft economic growth from China, raising eyebrows worldwide. The country’s flirtation with deflation and potential rate cuts from its central bank are noteworthy occurrences that are watched closely by market participants. China’s waning manufacturing demand, resulting from a shift in consumer spending in the U.S. and Europe towards services, has led to a 3.2% depreciation in yuan against the dollar this year, marking it as one of the worst-performing currencies in Asia.

On the U.S. economic data front, we saw the initial jobless claims for the week ending June 3 hit 261,000, the highest since November 2021. The increase in claims indicates some softening in the labor market – a development that the Federal Reserve will find interesting. On a brighter note, these claims continue to run well below levels seen in past recessions, which should provide some reassurance for market participants.

Furthermore, we witnessed a 0.1% decrease in wholesale inventories in April, providing some fresh insights into the health of the U.S. economy. The EIA Natural Gas Inventories change for the week ending June 2 revealed an increase of 80 billion cubic feet, which should stimulate some interesting shifts in the energy markets.

Market Close

As the curtain fell on the trading day, the market displayed a strong performance with more stocks participating in the upside. Market behemoths including Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), NVIDIA (NVDA), and Tesla (TSLA) continued their growth trajectory, contributing significantly to the market-cap weighted S&P 500, which flirted with the 4,300 level. In contrast, the energy sector experienced a minor setback, reacting to falling oil prices amid reports of a potential U.S.-Iran oil deal.