The SPX Is Lying To You

2026-07-16 / TG Watkins

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We are losing the AI trade, and the rotation underneath is starting to change the whole market. In this one I break down why the MAG 7 have turned defensive, the negative divergence I am watching on the IWM, and why the S&P breaking the hourly 50 has my attention. This is a time to be on defense, not pressing the long side.

In a market like this, defined risk matters more than ever. Henry Gambell just ran a session on his Triple 0DTE approach to trading the SPX, and the replay is up for a limited time. If you want to see how to stay active without pressing the long side, this is worth your time.

2026 Q3 HG Unbalanced Butterflies 2.0 – WR1 – Replay

TG Watkins

TG was running his own trading education service known as Moxie Trader for a few years, then bumped into John Carter at the Traders Expo in Las Vegas. This is where his relationship with Simpler Trading began and now he is one of the talented traders on the team. He can be found at his brand website www.Profit-Pilot.com. There you can check out his newsletters, media appearances, info about the Moxie alert service, purchase the Moxie indicator and classes based on his trading method. Beginner traders and advanced traders have expressed just how clear and easily understandable the Moxie method is.