Everything Looks Bad Except One Chart

2026-09-11 / Sam Shames

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The whole board is neutral except one thing: my Mag 7 index is reading 99 out of 100 while the S&P 500 sits at dead zero. Next week is Fed plus quarterly OPEX, so I walk through the primary long on MAGS, the escape plan in IWM puts if they hike, and one energy name if the market falls apart.

Next week is Fed plus quarterly OPEX, and the index is where all of this gets settled. John Carter has his SPX Advantage webinar up on replay, and if you trade the index into catalysts like this one, watch it before Wednesday.

Sam Shames

Sam began trading futures and equities in 2006 as markets were reaching a crescendo. Learning how to find opportunities in any market condition was the most important lesson from this time. He primarily looks to market correlations and follows a strategy where he looks to take advantage of both daily and intraday trends. The strategy is top-down first, starting with the market moving indices and futures to heavily weighted stocks to make sure that they are pulling in the same direction. Once that is established we review whether timeframes line up, meaning are the lower time frames in sync with the longer time frame trend. Tide first, then boats. Sam is primarily a swing trader and does not have a preference on length of time to hold a trade. As long as the trend and market correlations signal continues to be valid, he will hold the trade. He will also cut the trade if any of the underlying conditions change, take profits, and look for a re-entry when the clarity of the trade setup returns. As an aggressive swing trader, Sam works to understand the markets through technical analysis and recognizing the distinct psychology and correlations of each chart.