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Are we in a Downtrend or Oversold?
After some dramatic sell-offs this week, this question is the one that needs answering. We need to think about the range the indices are trading in, the support, as well as the market structure to determine the strategy and indicators we want to use. In this video I walk you through how to easily do it step by step.
Crude and oil stocks are in sync
Today’s crude oil chart shows that the 123 pattern has finally continued and set up an uptrend and buy-the-dips are valid. Oil stocks were waiting on the commodity to catch up and they are now in sync. This puts these symbols on our watchlist for buys as of tomorrow.
Levels that could catch a bid
Next week we will all be watching to see if buyers step in at oversold support levels. This is what makes chop challenging and why we must wait for our edge at the edge in chop.
This is the index to watch
It’s been a choppy January and frankly the chop has been around since late November but one index is starting to show signs that it is the relative outperformer amongst the indices. It will also shine a light on the sectors to watch going into mid-February. Ultimately relative outperformers will handle this environment best, and it is our job to find them.
Where I’m looking next for clarity
Always important to trade what we see not what we think. Once we have considered sector strength, FOMC messaging, as well as technical clarity, it’s the Dow that has emerged as the leader. Knowing that we also can build far better watchlist’s at the sector and stock level which is one of the reasons I prefer a top-down analysis approach. I walk through the process step-by-step in this video.




