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Is Santa a no-show?
There are three phases to a potential year end rally, we’ve already seen the first, and the second is still uncertain, Santa shows up last, and here’s how that could look.
Crying Jordan
News takes down markets across the world, but were the signs already there? Yes, and if so, they aren’t done yet; let’s review.
The trouble with trend transitions
It’s important to know and accept that all trends will transition to chop at some point but that all uptrends—when broken—are not immediately downtrends. This is 140 year old Dow Theory wisdom. But how do we measure it? I share how I do it and where you can get my (free) tools to make it as easy as possible.
Is This Time Different?
The Volatility Index (VIX) spiked this week and before I add more exposure in my long positions, I would ideally like to see VIX retreat below the 21 EMA down to a level of safety. In today’s video, we’ll walk through spots I want to get some exposure in with this flush in the market.
Are we out of the woods yet?
The market has been bombarded with three separate narratives: Govt shutdown, variant, taper. That is a lot to process and price in, but as we discussed previously, there are trends that are intact and could benefit from any one of those three narratives; that is where we focus.
Wild Ride Today!
In this video, we look at today’s crazy price action and try to make heads or tails out of it. Is this the start of a new downtrend or just another head fake and bounce?
Cuts like a knife
I am not giving up on December, and this variant news just needs a little more time before its edge is duller. Not all corners of the market are going to be cut equally in this environment of quicker taper and a growing variant concern… one would be tough but both is far trickier. The playbook for this could be as simple as leaning on relative outperforming indices and sectors and that is what we discuss in this update.
Trading the FAANGMAN Stocks
MSFT, AAPL, NFLX and GOOGL are set up to lead us into and end of year Santa Rally. Here are the key levels to trade.
Wednesday Chop to Friday Surge
The market has still a lot to digest from not-so-transitory inflation to the current variant, but all-in-all stocks were resilient and Tuesday followed the intraday tendency. So following that week-to-week intraday pattern, here’s what in store for the rest of the week.
Is Turnaround Tuesday Always Bullish?
While there is usually a bullish connotation to turnaround Tuesdays, if we get the bearish variety that could be exactly confirmation buyers want to see to set up a strong finish to the year. In this update, I explain how historical volatility plays into the setup and my preferred symbols for a buy.
