Market Rollercoaster: Banks Dive, Treasuries Climb, and Earnings Loom


Simpler Trading Team

3 min read

The market opened on a sour note today, with regional banks like PacWest (PACW) and Western Alliance (WAL) adding fuel to the fire of volatility. As the banking sector trembled, Treasury yields took a step back, hinting at potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, the oil market also faced headwinds, with WTI crude oil prices nearing yearly lows.

Sector Standouts and Individual Performers

In today’s market, we observed a blend of sectors that dazzled and fizzled. The technology sector made waves as it surged forward, with Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN) leading the charge. However, the energy sector had a rough day, with crude oil prices slipping below $70 due to ongoing concerns about global demand. The financial sector also faced headwinds, with regional banks such as PacWest (PACW) and Western Alliance (WAL) feeling the pressure.

Stocks that captured attention included Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which announced a partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) to expand its AI processor capabilities. This news propelled AMD’s stock up by 6.1%, while Microsoft (MSFT) also reaped the benefits, gaining 0.3%. On the flip side, Apple (AAPL) underperformed ahead of its earnings report, with the stock declining by 1.0% after a disappointing earnings report from its supplier, Qualcomm (QCOM).

Earning Reports That Shined and Those That Sank

Earnings season continues to unfold, revealing winners and losers in the market. Paramount Global (PARA) took a significant hit as its Q1 earnings report disappointed investors. The company’s stock plummeted 28.4% after it announced a dividend cut from $0.24 to $0.05 per share. Meanwhile, Johnson & Johnson’s (JNJ) consumer health spinoff, Kenvue (KVUE), celebrated a successful IPO, with its stock soaring 22.3% on its first trading day.

Analyzing Reports, Data, and Fed Actions

Today’s economic landscape was riddled with pertinent data. The Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates by 0.25% for the 10th consecutive time, bringing the Fed funds rate to 5.25%, sparked discussions on potential rate cuts by September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that it wouldn’t be appropriate to cut rates just yet, given the elevated inflation levels.

Initial jobless claims came in at 242K, slightly below the consensus of 245K. The data indicates that the job market remains resilient, with claims running well below the levels seen during prior recessions. Q1 productivity revealed a 2.7% decline, while unit labor costs increased by 6.3%. These numbers suggest that weak productivity is contributing to higher labor costs, further fueling inflation and prompting the Fed to maintain higher interest rates.

In the March trade balance report, a deficit of $64.2 billion was recorded, lower than the expected $68.7 billion. This data highlights the cooling of the U.S. economy, with relatively weak import activity observed throughout the month.

Major Indices Close Off Their Lows

The stock market had a tumultuous day, influenced by the FOMC rate hike and ongoing issues within the regional banking industry. Despite the challenges, major indices managed to close off their lows. The S&P 500 found support at the 4,050 level, buoyed by the outperformance of mega-cap stocks like (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT). The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 286.50 points at 33,127.65, while the Nasdaq fell 58.93 points to 11,966.58. The S&P 500 lost 29.53 points, settling at 4,052.95. The Russell 2000, an index that represents small-cap stocks, also managed to pare some of its losses, closing down 1.4%.