The Case for Crypto Altcoins

Everyone has seen the recent run in Bitcoin. Bitcoin price has more than quadrupled off the lows and it seems that cryptocurrencies are now on everyone’s radar. Equally as important, we have seen institutions drive adoption like never before, from Square and PayPal allowing users to buy on the platform, to greater institutional investments in … Read more

1987

1987 Déjà Vu

There is a setup in the markets currently that mirrors the setup just before Black Monday in 1987 that you should be aware of. This does not mean that history repeats; as traders we look at probabilities first. Let me make the case: In 1987, from June to October, the market was seeing a winning … Read more

Case Against Dollar Bears

The Case Against Dollar Bears

It’s easy to be a dollar bear… the buying power of the dollar seems to fall every year. The government runs a continuous and growing deficit every year regardless of who’s in control, and the Fed facilitates the largess with zero interest rates and monetization of the debt.

The Dollar Must Die

For the Fed to Live the Dollar Must Die

Since the March lows, we have seen the Fed do incredible things never seen before. It started with conventional things (like slashing rates and providing liquidity to markets) and quickly spiraled into modern day money printing via debt monetization and, even more drastically, buying corporate junk bonds.

News is Noise

News Is Noise

Normally it would be redundant to say to technically minded traders that “news is noise” … but these are not normal times. Let’s talk about what a chart represents. A chart is a visual representation of the collective decisions and subsequent psychology of millions of market participants.

Rubicon Crossed

Rubicon Crossed

The real cause of the market volatility is the firing of the bond market signal we noticed in October.

We are now on the other side of the signal – the Rubicon has been crossed.

know-thyself

Know Thyself

When folks talk about trading they may think of a couple of things – charts, company earnings, fundamentals and research, technical indicators, etc.… however, one aspect of trading that is chronically under-appreciated is the psychology of trading.

The Die Is Cast

Let’s talk about the yield curve. What is it? Yield curve is a visual representation of the “spread” or difference between government bonds of different maturities. For example, if the 10yr bond has a rate of 2% and the 2yr bond has a rate of 1% that would mean the 10y/2y spread is 1%, or … Read more